Paper 3: Statistics and Mechanics Statistics June 2023, Question 6 14 marks
Also involves Definite integration · Integration by parts · Modelling with probability
A medical researcher is studying the number of hours, T, a patient stays in hospital following a particular operation. The histogram on the page opposite summarises the results for a random sample of 90 patients.
Use the histogram to estimate P(10 < T < 30) For these 90 patients the time spent in hospital following the operation had
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• a mean of 14.9 hours
• a standard deviation of 9.3 hours
Tomas suggests that T can be modelled by N(14.9, 9.32)
With reference to the histogram, state, giving a reason, whether or not Tomas’ model could be suitable. Xiang suggests that the frequency polygon based on this histogram could be modelled by a curve with equation
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where
• x is measured in tens of hours
• k is a constant
Use algebraic integration to show that
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Show that, for Xiang’s model, k = 99 to the nearest integer.
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Estimate P(10 < T < 30) using
Tomas’ model of T ~ N(14.9, 9.32)
Xiang’s curve with equation y = 99xe–x and the answer to part (c) The researcher decides to use Xiang’s curve to model P(a T
b)
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State one limitation of Xiang’s model.
TOTAL FOR STATISTICS IS 50 MARKS
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