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AQA GCSE Maths

Topic questions Statistics Probability experiments and frequency

Probability experiments and frequency

47 questions · 172 marks · about 3 hours

Probability experiments and frequency questions

AQA 8300 Probability experiments and frequency 47 questions

Paper 1: Non-calculator June 2025 Foundation tier, Question 22 4 marks

330 students from Year 10 and Year 11 take part in a competition.

maths symbol number of students in Year 10: number of students in Year 11 = 1: 2

maths symbol 125 students win a medal.

maths symbol 73 of the students who win a medal are in Year 11

Complete the frequency tree.

Figure for question 22
[4]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 22

Paper 1: Non-calculator June 2025 Higher tier, Question 7 4 marks

7 330 students from Year 10 and Year 11 take part in a competition.

maths symbol number of students in Year 10: number of students in Year 11 = 1: 2

maths symbol 125 students win a medal.

maths symbol 73 of the students who win a medal are in Year 11

Complete the frequency tree.

Figure for question 7
[4]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 7

Paper 3: Calculator June 2025 Foundation tier, Question 17 3 marks

Sid and Zak each throw the same biased coin. Here is some information about their throws.

Figure for question 17
(a)

Work out the relative frequency of Heads for the 200 throws.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 17(a)
(b)

Which results would give the best estimate of the probability of Heads?

Tick one box.

Figure for question 17

Give a reason for your answer.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 17(b)

Paper 1: Non-calculator November 2024 Foundation tier, Question 7 6 marks

7 120 people visit a maze. 80 are children, the rest are adults.

At the start of the maze you can turn left or right. 45 children turn left. 75 people in total turn left.

(a)

Complete the frequency tree.

Figure for question 7
[4]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 7(a)
(b)

What fraction of the children turn left? Give your answer in its simplest form.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 7(b)

Paper 2: Calculator November 2024 Foundation tier, Question 20, also on the Higher paper 3 marks

Also involves The four operations

Beth and Lynn each spin the same biased coin a number of times. The table shows information about the results.

BethLynn
Number of spins12580
Relative frequency of Heads0.320.35
(a)

How many more Heads did Beth spin than Lynn?

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 20(a)
(b)

Lynn says, “My estimate of the probability of the coin landing on Heads must be the best, because 0.35 is greater than 0.32” Is she correct? Tick a box.

Figure for question 20

Give a reason for your answer.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 20(b)

Paper 2: Calculator November 2024 Higher tier, Question 7, also on the Foundation paper 3 marks

Beth and Lynn each spin the same biased coin a number of times. The table shows information about the results.

BethLynn
Number of spins12580
Relative frequency of Heads0.320.35
(a)

How many more Heads did Beth spin than Lynn?

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 7(a)
(b)

Lynn says, “My estimate of the probability of the coin landing on Heads must be the best, because 0.35 is greater than 0.32” Is she correct? Tick a box.

Figure for question 7

Give a reason for your answer.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 7(b)

Paper 2: Calculator June 2024 Foundation tier, Question 24, also on the Higher paper 2 marks

Archie flips a biased coin 200 times. Here is some information about the outcomes after each 50 flips.

Figure for question 24

Work out the best estimate for the probability of flipping a head. Give a reason for your answer.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 24

Paper 2: Calculator June 2024 Higher tier, Question 7, also on the Foundation paper 2 marks

Archie flips a biased coin 200 times. Here is some information about the outcomes after each 50 flips.

Figure for question 7

Work out the best estimate for the probability of flipping a head. Give a reason for your answer.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 7

Paper 3: Calculator June 2024 Foundation tier, Question 10 5 marks

8400 fans go to a rugby match.

6850 of the fans support the Home team. The remaining fans support the Away team.

20% of the Home fans wear a scarf. 2319 of all the fans wear a scarf.

Complete the frequency tree.

Figure for question 10
[5]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 10

Paper 3: Calculator June 2024 Higher tier, Question 10 3 marks

On a biased dice, P(lands on 6) = 0.38

This dice is rolled 150 times.

How many times would you expect the dice not to land on 6 ?

[3]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 10

Paper 2: Calculator November 2023 Higher tier, Question 15 3 marks

A bag contains discs.

Trial A disc is chosen at random from the bag. The colour of the disc is noted. The disc is put back into the bag.

The trial is carried out 100 times. The table shows the relative frequency of a blue disc after every 25 trials.

Figure for question 15
(a)

For the trials from the 26th to the 50th, how many times was a blue disc chosen?

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 15(a)
(b)

There is a total of 1000 discs in the bag.

Work out the best estimate of the number of blue discs in the bag.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 15(b)

Paper 2: Calculator June 2023 Foundation tier, Question 8 5 marks

Also involves Inequalities

8 93 people were asked if they played online games one day. The frequency tree shows some information about their answers.

Figure for question 8
(a)

75% of the people who answered Yes played one game. Complete the frequency tree.

[3]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 8(a)
(b)

One of the 93 people is chosen at random. P(used social media) is more than 0.68

What is the smallest possible number of people who used social media?

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 8(b)

Paper 2: Calculator June 2023 Foundation tier, Question 18, also on the Higher paper 5 marks

In a game,

maths symbol an ordinary fair six-sided dice is rolled

maths symbol the fair spinner shown is spun.

Figure for question 18

The score is the dice number substituted into the spinner expression.

(a)

Complete the table to show all of the possible scores.

Figure for question 18
[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 18(a)
(b)

A player wins the game if their score is 10 or more. Work out the probability that they win the game.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 18(b)
(c)

The game is played 711 times. Estimate the number of games that are won.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 18(c)

Paper 2: Calculator June 2023 Higher tier, Question 7, also on the Foundation paper 5 marks

Also involves Substitution into formulae

In a game,

maths symbol an ordinary fair six-sided dice is rolled

maths symbol the fair spinner shown is spun.

Figure for question 7

The score is the dice number substituted into the spinner expression.

(a)

Complete the table to show all of the possible scores.

Figure for question 7
[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 7(a)
(b)

A player wins the game if their score is 10 or more. Work out the probability that they win the game.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 7(b)
(c)

The game is played 711 times. Estimate the number of games that are won.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 7(c)

Paper 3: Calculator June 2023 Higher tier, Question 12 4 marks

Here is a biased spinner.

Figure for question 12
(a)

Ali, Ben and Cary want to know the probability of spinning red on the biased spinner. They each spin it and count how many times it lands on red and divide by the total number of spins.

Figure for question 12
Question 12, shown as an image
Question 12, shown as an image

Who had the best estimate for the probability of spinning red? Give a reason for your answer.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 12(a)
(b)

Dev spins the spinner 80 times. He says, “My relative frequency of red is 0.185” Give a reason why his relative frequency must be wrong.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 12(b)
(c)

Elena spins the spinner 125 times. The relative frequency of red is 0.32 Work out how many times the spinner landed on green.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 12(c)

Paper 3: Calculator November 2022 Foundation tier, Question 11 4 marks

480 people are asked if they eat sushi. 20% say Yes. fraction of the people who say Yes eat sushi at least once a month. Complete the frequency tree.

Figure for question 11
[4]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 11

Paper 3: Calculator November 2022 Foundation tier, Question 28, also on the Higher paper 3 marks

Here are the results after 250 spins of a coin.

Heads128
Tails122

The coin is spun an extra 50 times. After all 300 spins, the relative frequency of Heads is 0.49 For the extra 50 spins, work out number of Heads: number of Tails

[3]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 28

Paper 3: Calculator November 2022 Higher tier, Question 10, also on the Foundation paper 3 marks

Here are the results after 250 spins of a coin.

Heads128
Tails122

The coin is spun an extra 50 times. After all 300 spins, the relative frequency of Heads is 0.49

For the extra 50 spins, work out number of Heads: number of Tails

[3]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 10

Paper 2: Calculator June 2022 Foundation tier, Question 25, also on the Higher paper 3 marks

Rosie makes phone calls to try to sell broadband. Today, she made 120 calls. The table shows the results.

Result of callFrequency
Not answered33
Answered but sale not made81
Answered and sale made6
(a)

Write down the relative frequency that a call was not answered.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 25(a)
(b)

During the rest of the week, Rosie will make 500 calls. Using the results in the table, how many sales does she expect to make during the rest of the week ?

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 25(b)

Paper 2: Calculator June 2022 Higher tier, Question 9, also on the Foundation paper 3 marks

Also involves Fractions

Rosie makes phone calls to try to sell broadband. Today, she made 120 calls. The table shows the results.

Result of callFrequency
Not answered33
Answered but sale not made81
Answered and sale made6
(a)

Write down the relative frequency that a call was not answered.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 9(a)
(b)

During the rest of the week, Rosie will make 500 calls. Using the results in the table, how many sales does she expect to make during the rest of the week ?

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 9(b)

Paper 3: Calculator June 2022 Foundation tier, Question 9 4 marks

Some students were asked about their daily exercise.

(a)

12 more students answered Yes than answered No. Complete the frequency tree.

Figure for question 9
[3]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 9(a)
(b)

One of the 35 students who answered Yes is chosen at random. What is the probability that they exercise for at least 1 hour?

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 9(b)

Paper 3: Calculator June 2022 Foundation tier, Question 20 1 mark

Adam and Bianca each throw the same biased coin. Here is some information about their throws.

Number of throwsNumber of Heads
Adam4014
Bianca6020

Bianca says, ‘‘My results give a better estimate of the probability of Heads than Adam’s results.’’ Is she correct? Tick a box.

Figure for question 20

Give a reason for your answer.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 20

Paper 2: Calculator November 2021 Foundation tier, Question 12 6 marks

Also involves Fractions

A sports team played 40 games. Half were home games and half were away games. Each game was a win, a draw or a loss. Of the home games, fraction were losses. Of the away games, fraction were wins.

(a)

Complete the frequency tree.

Figure for question 12
[4]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 12(a)
(b)

The team gets 6 points for a win 3 points for a draw 0 points for a loss. Work out the total number of points that the team got.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 12(b)

Paper 2: Calculator November 2021 Foundation tier, Question 29, also on the Higher paper 4 marks

Also involves Tables, charts and diagrams

250 trains arrived at a station. The number of trains that were late was recorded after every 50 trains. The table shows some information about the results.

Total number of trains 50 100150200250
Total number of late trains 16 21363855
Relative frequency of late trains 0.32 0.21
(a)

Complete the relative frequency graph.

Figure for question 29
[3]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 29(a)
(b)

Write down the best estimate of the probability that a train arriving at the station is late.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 29(b)

Paper 2: Calculator November 2021 Higher tier, Question 11, also on the Foundation paper 4 marks

Also involves The probability scale

250 trains arrived at a station. The number of trains that were late was recorded after every 50 trains. The table shows some information about the results.

Total number of trains 50 100150200250
Total number of late trains 16 21363855
Relative frequency of late trains 0.32 0.21
(a)

Complete the relative frequency graph.

Figure for question 11
[3]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 11(a)
(b)

Write down the best estimate of the probability that a train arriving at the station is late.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 11(b)

Paper 3: Calculator November 2021 Foundation tier, Question 8 4 marks

Also involves The probability scale

Here are four number cards.

Figure for question 8
(a)

Use each card once to make this calculation correct.

Figure for question 8
[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 8(a)
(b)

Two of the cards are chosen at random.

List all the possible pairs of cards. Two have been done for you.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 8(b)
(c)
First cardSecond card
2 55 2

Write down the probability that the first card is an even number.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 8(c)

Paper 3: Calculator November 2020 Foundation tier, Question 9 5 marks

Also involves The four operations

9 500 people started a race. 280 were men and the rest were women. 80% of the men finished the race. 30 women did not finish the race. Complete the frequency tree.

Figure for question 9
[5]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 9

Paper 3: Calculator November 2020 Foundation tier, Question 17 5 marks

Also involves Probability

A record was kept of the number of days that 25 students were absent one term. The chart represents the results.

Figure for question 17
(a)

Work out the mean number of days absent.

[3]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 17(a)
(b)

One of the students is chosen at random. Work out the probability that the student was absent for less than 4 days.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 17(b)

Paper 2: Calculator June 2019 Foundation tier, Question 9 4 marks

Also involves The four operations

9 56 customers pay for satellite television. They all have the Basic package for £24.50 per month. Some also have the Sports package for £27.50 extra per month the Movie package for £18 extra per month. The frequency tree shows the number of customers with each package.

Figure for question 9

In total, how much per month do the 56 customers pay?

[4]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 9

Paper 2: Calculator June 2019 Higher tier, Question 12 1 mark

A biased coin is thrown 250 times. The relative frequency of Heads is worked out after every 50 throws.

Total number of throws50100150200250
Relative frequency0.40.290.40.320.3

Circle the best estimate of the probability of Heads.

0.3 0.32 0.342 0.4

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 12

Paper 1: Non-calculator November 2018 Foundation tier, Question 8 5 marks

Also involves Ratio

At a cinema, films are shown on Screen 1 and Screen 2 Customers pay full price or child price. There are three times as many customers in Screen 2 as Screen 1 68 customers paid child price. Complete the frequency tree.

Figure for question 8
[5]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 8

Paper 3: Calculator November 2018 Foundation tier, Question 10 4 marks

In a game, a fair spinner has five equal sections as shown.

Figure for question 10
(a)

Chloe spins the spinner. Write down the probability that she gets ‘Miss a turn’.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 10(a)
(b)

The spinner lands on ‘Go back 1 square’ three times in a row. Jamal is next to spin. Write down the probability that he gets ‘Go back 1 square’.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 10(b)
(c)

In one game there are 85 spins. How many of these spins are expected to be ‘Go forward 2 squares’?

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 10(c)

Paper 1: Non-calculator June 2018 Foundation tier, Question 27, also on the Higher paper 2 marks

A coin is thrown 50 times. It lands on heads 31 times.

(a)

Write down the relative frequency it lands on heads.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 27(a)
(b)

Raj says, “The coin is biased towards heads.” Use the data to give a reason why he might be correct.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 27(b)

Paper 1: Non-calculator June 2018 Higher tier, Question 8, also on the Foundation paper 2 marks

A coin is thrown 50 times. It lands on heads 31 times.

(a)

Write down the relative frequency it lands on heads.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 8(a)
(b)

Raj says, “The coin is biased towards heads.” Use the data to give a reason why he might be correct.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 8(b)

Paper 1: Non-calculator June 2018 Higher tier, Question 15 3 marks

A biased dice is thrown. Here are the probabilities of each score.

Score123456
Probability0.250.050.150.050.30.2

The dice is thrown 200 times. Work out the expected number of times the score will be odd.

[3]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 15

Paper 2: Calculator June 2018 Foundation tier, Question 25, also on the Higher paper 3 marks

On three days, Ali throws darts at a target. Here are his results.

Number of throwsNumber of hitsNumber of misses
Monday20155
Tuesday30228
Wednesday401723
Total905436
(a)

Work out two different estimates for the probability of Ali hitting the target.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 25(a)
(b)

Which of your two answers is the better estimate for the probability of Ali hitting the target? Give a reason for your answer.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 25(b)

Paper 2: Calculator June 2018 Higher tier, Question 7, also on the Foundation paper 3 marks

On three days, Ali throws darts at a target. Here are his results.

Number of throwsNumber of hitsNumber of misses
Monday20155
Tuesday30228
Wednesday401723
Total905436
(a)

Work out two different estimates for the probability of Ali hitting the target.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 7(a)
(b)

Which of your two answers is the better estimate for the probability of Ali hitting the target? Give a reason for your answer.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 7(b)

Paper 1: Non-calculator November 2017 Foundation tier, Question 9 3 marks

Also involves Probability

In a game, three stars are hidden at random. Each star is behind a different square on this board.

Figure for question 9
(a)

A square is chosen at random. What is the probability that there is a star behind it?

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 9(a)
(b)

In one game, the stars are behind three consecutive squares. The squares are in one row or one column. One of the squares is E2 Write down all the possible pairs for the other two squares.

Figure for question 9
[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 9(b)

Paper 2: Calculator November 2017 Foundation tier, Question 21 4 marks

An experiment is carried out 200 times. The possible outcomes are K, L and M.

(a)

Complete the table.

OutcomeKLM
Frequency8454
Relative frequency0.42
[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 21(a)
(b)

Altogether, the experiment is carried out 500 times.

How many times would you expect the outcome to be K?

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 21(b)

Paper 3: Calculator November 2017 Foundation tier, Question 26, also on the Higher paper 7 marks

42 men and 38 women visit a restaurant. 44 of these people have a voucher. Three times as many men as women do not have a voucher.

(a)

Complete the frequency tree.

Figure for question 26
[4]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 26(a)
(b)

A voucher takes 15% off the bill. After using the voucher, the bill for a meal is £27.20 How much was the bill before using the voucher?

[3]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 26(b)

Paper 3: Calculator November 2017 Higher tier, Question 11, also on the Foundation paper 7 marks

42 men and 38 women visit a restaurant. 44 of these people have a voucher. Three times as many men as women do not have a voucher.

(a)

Complete the frequency tree.

Figure for question 11
[4]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 11(a)
(b)

A voucher takes 15% off the bill. After using the voucher, the bill for a meal is £27.20 How much was the bill before using the voucher?

[3]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 11(b)

Paper 1: Non-calculator June 2017 Foundation tier, Question 6 6 marks

Also involves Fractions

6 500 people are asked if they drink coffee.

Question 6, shown as an image

20% of the people who say Yes drink at least three cups each day.

Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 6
(a)

Complete the frequency tree.

Figure for question 6
[4]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 6(a)
(b)

What fraction of the 500 people drink at least three cups of coffee each day? Give your answer in its simplest form.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 6(b)

Paper 2: Calculator June 2017 Foundation tier, Question 20 2 marks

Also involves Possibility spaces and combined events

A code has 4 digits. Each digit is a number from 0 to 9 Digits may be repeated. The code starts 5 4 1

Figure for question 20
(a)

Joe chooses a number at random for the last digit. Write down the probability that he chooses the correct number.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 20(a)
(b)

Amy knows the last digit is odd but not 7 She chooses a different odd number at random. What is the probability that she chooses the correct number?

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 20(b)

Paper 3: Calculator June 2017 Foundation tier, Question 9 3 marks

Also involves Probability

(a)

List all the factors of 30

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 9(a)
(b)

A factor of 30 is chosen at random. What is the probability that it is a 2-digit number?

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 9(b)

Paper 3: Calculator June 2017 Higher tier, Question 5 2 marks

A coin lands on Tails 200 times. The relative frequency of Tails is 0.4 Work out the number of times the coin was thrown.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 5

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