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Edexcel GCSE Maths

Topic questions Statistics The probability scale

The probability scale

33 questions · 119 marks · about 2 hours

The probability scale questions

Edexcel 1MA1 The probability scale 33 questions

Paper 1 June 2025 Foundation tier, Question 20, also on the Higher paper 5 marks

There are only red counters, white counters, blue counters and green counters in a bag. Chris is going to take at random a counter from the bag. The table shows the probability that he will take a red counter and the probability that he will take a white counter.

Colourredwhitebluegreen
Probability0.30.1

There are twice as many blue counters as there are green counters in the bag.

(a)

Work out the probability that Chris will take a blue counter.

There are 45 red counters in the bag.

[3]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 20(a)
(b)

Work out the total number of counters in the bag.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 20(b)

Paper 1 June 2025 Higher tier, Question 2, also on the Foundation paper 5 marks

There are only red counters, white counters, blue counters and green counters in a bag. Chris is going to take at random a counter from the bag. The table shows the probability that he will take a red counter and the probability that he will take a white counter.

Colourredwhitebluegreen
Probability0.30.1

There are twice as many blue counters as there are green counters in the bag.

(a)

Work out the probability that Chris will take a blue counter.

There are 45 red counters in the bag.

[3]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 2(a)
(b)

Work out the total number of counters in the bag.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 2(b)

Paper 1 June 2025 Higher tier, Question 15 4 marks

The histogram gives information about the weights, in grams, of some biscuits.

Figure for question 15

One of these biscuits is taken at random. Work out an estimate for the probability that the biscuit will have a weight between 20 grams and 40 grams.

[4]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 15

Paper 3 June 2025 Foundation tier, Question 7 2 marks

Tom has a fair ordinary dice. He rolls the dice once.

(a)

On the probability scale below, mark with a cross (maths symbol) the probability that Tom gets the number 2

Question 7, shown as an image
[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 7(a)
(b)

On the probability scale below, mark with a cross (maths symbol) the probability that Tom gets a number greater than 4

Question 7, shown as an image
[1]

Paper 2 November 2024 Foundation tier, Question 7 5 marks

Here are the ages, in years, of 8 children. 14 10 10 13 15 9 15 10

(a)

Work out the mean age.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 7(a)
(b)

Work out the range of the ages.

One of the children is chosen at random.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 7(b)
(c)

On the probability scale below, mark with a cross (maths symbol) the probability that this child has an age of 15

Question 7, shown as an image
[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 7(c)

Paper 1 June 2024 Foundation tier, Question 13 3 marks

There are only £10 notes and £20 notes in a wallet. Ali takes at random a note from the wallet.

(a)

Write down the probability that Ali takes a note with a value of more than £5

There are only 1p coins and 2p coins in a bag. The total value of the coins in the bag is 40p The total value of the 1p coins is the same as the total value of the 2p coins. Simon takes at random a coin from the bag.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 13(a)
(b)

Find the probability that Simon takes a 1p coin.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 13(b)

Paper 2 June 2024 Foundation tier, Question 23, also on the Higher paper 4 marks

There are only red discs, blue discs and yellow discs in a bag. There are 24 yellow discs in the bag. Mel is going to take at random a disc from the bag. The probability that the disc will be yellow is 0.16 the number of red discs: the number of blue discs = 5: 4 Work out the number of red discs in the bag.

[4]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 23

Paper 2 June 2024 Higher tier, Question 4, also on the Foundation paper 4 marks

There are only red discs, blue discs and yellow discs in a bag. There are 24 yellow discs in the bag. Mel is going to take at random a disc from the bag. The probability that the disc will be yellow is 0.16 the number of red discs: the number of blue discs = 5: 4 Work out the number of red discs in the bag.

[4]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 4

Paper 1 November 2023 Foundation tier, Question 9 3 marks

Selina has a bag of 22 counters. 5 of the counters are blue. 9 of the counters are red. 8 of the counters are pink. Selina takes at random a counter from the bag. Write down the probability that Selina

(i)

takes a red counter,

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 9(i)
(ii)

does not take a pink counter,

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 9(ii)
(iii)

takes a white counter.

[1]

Paper 2 November 2023 Foundation tier, Question 11 2 marks

Rima is going to roll a fair 6‑sided dice.

(a)

Choose the word that best describes the probability that the dice will land on the

Figure for question 11
[1]
(b)

Choose the word that best describes the probability that the dice will land on an odd number.

Figure for question 11
[1]

Paper 3 November 2023 Foundation tier, Question 21, also on the Higher paper 2 marks

Here is a biased spinner.

Figure for question 21

The table shows the probabilities that when the spinner is spun it will land on A, on B, on C and on D.

LetterABCD
Probability0.40.210.320.07

Luka will spin the spinner 200 times. Work out an estimate for the number of times the spinner will land on A.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 21

Paper 3 November 2023 Higher tier, Question 2, also on the Foundation paper 2 marks

Here is a biased spinner.

Figure for question 2

The table shows the probabilities that when the spinner is spun it will land on A, on B, on C and on D.

LetterABCD
Probability0.40.210.320.07

Luka will spin the spinner 200 times. Work out an estimate for the number of times the spinner will land on A.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 2

Paper 3 November 2023 Higher tier, Question 13 6 marks

Alan grew 80 plants of the same type outside. The cumulative frequency graph shows information about the heights, in cm, of these plants.

Figure for question 13

One of the plants is chosen at random.

(a)

Find an estimate for the probability that this plant will have a height greater than 90 cm.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 13(a)
(b)

Use the graph to find an estimate for the median height.

[1]
(c)

Use the graph to find an estimate for the interquartile range of the heights.

Alan also grew plants of the same type inside. The interquartile range of the heights of these plants is 30 cm.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 13(c)
(d)

Give one comparison between the distribution of the heights of the plants grown inside with the distribution of the heights of the plants grown outside.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 13(d)

Paper 2 June 2023 Foundation tier, Question 6 2 marks

Shari has a fair ordinary dice. She rolls the dice once.

(a)

On the probability scale, mark with a cross (maths symbol) the probability that Shari gets the number 7

Question 6, shown as an image
[1]
(b)

On the probability scale, mark with a cross (maths symbol) the probability that Shari gets an even number.

Question 6, shown as an image
[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 6(b)

Paper 2 June 2023 Higher tier, Question 10 4 marks

A biased dice is thrown 60 times. The table shows information about the number that the dice lands on each time.

Number on dice123456
Frequency12789915

Gethin throws the dice twice.

(a)

Work out an estimate for the probability that the dice will land on 6 both times.

Sally is going to throw the same dice n times and record the number it lands on each time. She will use her results to work out a more reliable estimate for the probability in part (a).

[3]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 10(a)
(b)

What can you say about the value of n?

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 10(b)

Paper 3 June 2023 Foundation tier, Question 7 3 marks

Here is a 4-sided spinner.

Figure for question 7

Samina spins the spinner once.

(a)

Choose the word that best describes the probability that the spinner lands on 2

Figure for question 7
[1]
(b)

Choose the word that best describes the probability that the spinner lands on a

Figure for question 7

Ralph rolls a biased dice once. The probability that he gets the number 5 is 0.4

[1]
(c)

Work out the probability that Ralph does not get the number 5

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 7(c)

Paper 1 November 2022 Foundation tier, Question 7 3 marks

Here is a list of 8 letters. B C A A A A B A

(a)

Write down the mode.

One of the 8 letters is going to be picked at random.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 7(a)
(b)(i)

On the probability scale, mark with a cross (maths symbol) the probability that this letter will be B.

Figure for question 7
[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 7(b)(i)
(b)(ii)

Find the probability that this letter will be C.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 7(b)(ii)

Paper 1 November 2022 Higher tier, Question 10 4 marks

Lina spins a biased 5-sided spinner 40 times.

Figure for question 10

Here are her results.

Score12345
Frequency689710

Lina is now going to spin the spinner another two times.

(a)

Work out an estimate for the probability that she gets a score of 5 both times.

Derek is going to spin the spinner a large number of times.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 10(a)
(b)

Work out an estimate for the percentage of times Derek can expect to get a score of 1

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 10(b)

Paper 1 June 2022 Foundation tier, Question 17 5 marks

72 people did a test. 20 of the 32 adults who did the test passed. 6 of the children who did the test failed.

(a)

Use this information to complete the frequency tree.

Figure for question 17
[3]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 17(a)
(b)

One of these people is picked at random.

Find the probability that this person is an adult who failed the test.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 17(b)

Paper 3 June 2022 Foundation tier, Question 10 4 marks

Here is a list of 8 numbers. 2 2 3 5 6 6 8 9 Kim picks at random one of these numbers.

(a)

On the probability scale below, mark with a cross (maths symbol) the probability that Kim picks a number 7

Figure for question 10
[1]
(b)

On the probability scale below, mark with a cross (maths symbol) the probability that Kim picks a number greater than 5

Figure for question 10
[1]
(c)

Find the probability that Kim picks an even number.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 10(c)

Paper 3 November 2021 Foundation tier, Question 26, also on the Higher paper 4 marks

In a bag there are only red counters, blue counters, green counters and pink counters. A counter is going to be taken at random from the bag. The table shows the probabilities of taking a red counter or a blue counter.

Colourredbluegreenpink
Probability0.050.15..............................................

The probability of taking a green counter is 0.2 more than the probability of taking a pink counter.

(a)

Complete the table.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 26(a)
(b)

There are 18 blue counters in the bag.

Work out the total number of counters in the bag.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 26(b)

Paper 3 November 2021 Higher tier, Question 6, also on the Foundation paper 4 marks

In a bag there are only red counters, blue counters, green counters and pink counters. A counter is going to be taken at random from the bag. The table shows the probabilities of taking a red counter or a blue counter.

Colourredbluegreenpink
Probability0.050.15..............................................

The probability of taking a green counter is 0.2 more than the probability of taking a pink counter.

(a)

Complete the table.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 6(a)
(b)

There are 18 blue counters in the bag.

Work out the total number of counters in the bag.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 6(b)

Paper 1 November 2020 Foundation tier, Question 6 2 marks

Gita spins a fair 8‑sided spinner.

Figure for question 6
(a)

On the probability scale, mark with a cross (X) the probability that the spinner will land on C.

Figure for question 6
[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 6(a)
(b)

On the probability scale, mark with a cross (X) the probability that the spinner will land on D.

Figure for question 6
[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 6(b)

Paper 3 November 2020 Higher tier, Question 8 3 marks

There are some counters in a bag. The counters are blue or green or red or yellow. The table shows the probabilities that a counter taken at random from the bag will be blue or will be green.

Colourbluegreenredyellow
Probability0.320.20

The probability that a counter taken at random from the bag will be red is five times the probability that the counter will be yellow. There are 300 counters in the bag. Work out the number of yellow counters in the bag.

[3]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 8

Paper 1 June 2019 Foundation tier, Question 17 2 marks

Stuart throws a biased coin 10 times. He gets 7 Tails. Maxine throws the same coin 50 times. She gets 30 Tails. Prasha is going to throw the coin once.

(i)

Whose results will give the better estimate for the probability that she will get Tails, Stuart’s or Maxine’s? You must give a reason for your answer.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 17(i)
(ii)

Use Stuart’s and Maxine’s results to work out an estimate for the probability that Prasha will get Tails.

[1]

Paper 1 June 2019 Foundation tier, Question 22, also on the Higher paper 4 marks

There are only blue cubes, red cubes and yellow cubes in a box. The table shows the probability of taking at random a blue cube from the box.

Colourblueredyellow
Probability0.2

The number of red cubes in the box is the same as the number of yellow cubes in the box.

(a)

Complete the table.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 22(a)
(b)

There are 12 blue cubes in the box.

Work out the total number of cubes in the box.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 22(b)

Paper 1 June 2019 Higher tier, Question 1, also on the Foundation paper 4 marks

There are only blue cubes, red cubes and yellow cubes in a box. The table shows the probability of taking at random a blue cube from the box.

Colourblueredyellow
Probability0.2

The number of red cubes in the box is the same as the number of yellow cubes in the box.

(a)

Complete the table.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 1(a)
(b)

There are 12 blue cubes in the box.

Work out the total number of cubes in the box.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 1(b)

Paper 2 June 2019 Foundation tier, Question 16 5 marks

Four biased coins, A, B, C and D are thrown. The probability that each coin will land on Heads is shown in the table.

CoinProbability
A0.33
B0.033
C1 3
D30%
(a)(i)

Which coin is least likely to land on Heads?

[1]
(a)(ii)

Which coin is most likely to land on Heads?

[1]
(b)

Julie says, “The probability that coin C will land on Heads is the same as the probability that coin C will land on Tails.”

Is she correct? Give a reason for your answer.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 16(b)
(c)

Coin B is going to be thrown 4000 times.

Work out an estimate for the number of times coin B will land on Heads.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 16(c)

Paper 3 November 2018 Foundation tier, Question 6 2 marks

An ordinary fair dice is thrown once.

(a)

On the probability scale below, mark with a cross (maths symbol) the probability that the dice lands on an odd number.

Question 6, shown as an image
[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 6(a)
(b)

Write down the probability that the dice lands on a number greater than 4

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 6(b)

Paper 1 June 2018 Foundation tier, Question 7 5 marks

Also involves Fractions

Here is a probability scale. It shows the probability of each of the events A, B, C and D.

Figure for question 7
(a)

Write down the letter of the event that is certain.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 7(a)
(b)

Write down the letter of the event that is unlikely.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 7(b)
(c)

There are 12 counters in a bag.

3 of the counters are red. 1 of the counters is blue. 2 of the counters are yellow. The rest of the counters are green.

Caitlin takes at random a counter from the bag.

Show that the probability that this counter is yellow or green is fraction

[3]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 7(c)

Paper 3 June 2018 Foundation tier, Question 14 5 marks

Also involves Box plots and stem and leaf diagrams

Here are the marks 20 students got in a French test.

76828469806470817591
87678070947681697177
(a)

Show this information in a stem and leaf diagram.

Figure for question 14
[3]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 14(a)
(b)

One of these students is going to be chosen at random.

The pass mark in the French test is 71

Omar writes, The probability that this student failed the French test is fraction

Omar is wrong.

Explain why.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 14(b)

Paper 3 June 2018 Higher tier, Question 6 5 marks

There are some counters in a bag. The counters are red or white or blue or yellow.

Bob is going to take at random a counter from the bag.

The table shows each of the probabilities that the counter will be blue or will be yellow.

Colourredwhiteblueyellow
Probability0.450.25

There are 18 blue counters in the bag.

The probability that the counter Bob takes will be red is twice the probability that the counter will be white.

(a)

Work out the number of red counters in the bag.

[4]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 6(a)
(b)

A marble is going to be taken at random from a box of marbles. The probability that the marble will be silver is 0.5

There must be an even number of marbles in the box.

Explain why.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 6(b)

Paper 1 June 2017 Foundation tier, Question 6 2 marks

Sammy spins a fair 4-sided spinner.

Figure for question 6
(i)

On the probability scale, mark with a cross (×) the probability that the spinner will land on B.

Figure for question 6
[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 6(i)
(ii)

On the probability scale, mark with a cross (×) the probability that the spinner will land on F.

Figure for question 6
[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 6(ii)

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