Question 1
Read the information below and then answer the questions that follow.
SCF
SCF is a UK-based manufacturer of components that are sold to UK and EU businesses which use them to produce computers. It has strong relationships with its small number of customers. However, recent vertical and horizontal mergers involving other firms in the sector have reduced the number of buyers. As a result, there are fewer opportunities to win new contracts. Furthermore, many of the biggest computer manufacturers only want to deal with large suppliers. Some manufacturers will only purchase components made in the European Union (EU).
SCF’s owners are increasingly concerned about falling sales and profit margins. They recently appointed a new Chief Executive who set out a vision for ambitious growth. The growth plans focus on supplying directly to EU manufacturers from a new factory in Spain. This factory would replace the existing UK site, where efficiency has been falling.
Appendix A Extract from SCF’s cash flow forecast
| October 2025 (£m) | November 2025 (£m) | |
| Total inflows | 3.24 | 3.35 |
| Total outflows | 3.11 | 3.22 |
Note: The closing balance for 31 October is £4.30 million.
Appendix B Financial information for SCF, 2022–2024
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 |
| Inventory turnover (times) | 5.9 | 5.6 | 5.2 |
| Operating profit (£m) | 0.92 | 0.71 | 0.63 |
| Non-current assets (£m) | 7.3 | 7.5 | 8.2 |
| Non-current liabilities (£m) | 3.1 | 2.9 | 2.8 |
| Capital employed (£m) | 9.3 | 10.0 | 10.2 |
Appendix C Value of total market and SCF’s sales in different markets, 2020–2028
Note: Values for 2026 onwards are forecasts. These do not take into account the plan to move production to Spain.
Appendices continue on the next page
Appendix D Decision tree showing outcomes of different strategic options predicted by
SCF’s sales forecasting
Option 1: Upgrade existing UK factory Option 2: Build new factory in Spain
Appendix E Forecasts for selected economic variables, 2025–2028
| 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
| UK GDP growth (%) | +0.2 | +1.2 | +0.6 | +1.3 |
| EU GDP growth (%) | +3.1 | +3.6 | +4.2 | +5.1 |
| UK unemployment (%) | 5.5 | 6.2 | 7.1 | 7.0 |
| UK interest rates (%) | 5.4 | 5.2 | 5.5 | 6.1 |
| Value of the £ in euros | €1.18 | €1.10 | €1.03 | €1.00 |
The data in Appendix A assumed all customers would make immediate payments. With effect from 1 November, customers will be given one month’s credit.
Calculate SCF’s closing balance for November, assuming all customers take advantage of the new payment terms.
[3 marks]
Explain one possible reason for the change in inventory turnover shown in Appendix B.
[4 marks]
Using Appendix D and the other information available, analyse why SCF chose Option 2.
Your answer should include quantitative and qualitative information.
[9 marks]
To what extent do the changes in the economic environment create more threats than opportunities for SCF?
Use Appendix E and the other information provided in your answer.
[16 marks]