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Edexcel GCSE Statistics

Topic questions Statistics The probability scale

The probability scale

10 questions · 46 marks · about 50 minutes

The probability scale questions

Edexcel 1ST0 The probability scale 10 questions

Paper 1 June 2025 Foundation tier, Question 1 5 marks

Chiara spins a fair 8‑sided spinner.

Figure for question 1
(a)

Circle the word from the list that best describes the likelihood that the spinner lands on a 5

certain evens likely impossible unlikely

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 1(a)
(b)

On the probability scale, mark with a cross (×) the probability that the spinner lands on a 4

Question 1, shown as an image
[1]
(c)

On the probability scale, mark with a cross (×) the probability that the spinner lands on an even number.

Question 1, shown as an image
[1]
(d)

Write down the probability that the spinner lands on a 3

Chiara spins the spinner a total of 80 times.

[1]
(e)

Work out the expected number of times the spinner will land on a 3

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 1(e)

Paper 2 June 2024 Foundation tier, Question 1 4 marks

David has 10 cards each with a single letter on it as shown.

Figure for question 1

A card is picked at random.

(a)

Underline the word from the list below that best describes the likelihood that the card has a letter A on it.

impossible certain likely evens unlikely

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 1(a)
(b)

Complete this sentence using two different letters.

Cards with the letters........ and........ are equally likely to be picked.

[1]
(c)

On the probability scale below, mark with a cross (×) the probability that the card has a letter C on it.

Question 1, shown as an image
[1]
(d)

On the probability scale below, mark with a cross (×) the probability that the card has a letter A or a letter C on it.

Question 1, shown as an image
[1]

Paper 1 June 2023 Foundation tier, Question 2 6 marks

Jonathan has a fair 6-faced dice which has the numbers 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6 on its faces.

Jonathan rolls his dice once.

(a)

On the probability scale below, mark with a cross (×) the probability that the dice will land on an odd number.

0 50% 100%

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 2(a)
(b)

Kasia has a fair 8-faced dice which has the numbers 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 and 8 on its faces.

Circle the word from the list below that best describes the likelihood that the dice lands on a 9

impossible unlikely evens likely certain

[1]
(c)

Kasia rolls her dice 80 times.

Work out the number of times you would expect her dice to land on a 5

Jonathan is going to roll his dice once. Kasia is going to roll her dice once.

[2]
(d)

Is Jonathan more likely to roll a 6 than Kasia? You should justify your answer.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 2(d)

Paper 1 June 2022 Foundation tier, Question 2 5 marks

Rahul has a 5-sided spinner.

Figure for question 2

The spinner is a fair spinner.

(a)

Explain what the word fair means in this description of the spinner.

Rahul is going to spin his spinner once.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 2(a)
(b)

Underline the word from the list below that best describes the likelihood that the spinner will land on 3

impossible unlikely evens likely certain

[1]
(c)

Underline the word from the list below that best describes the likelihood that the spinner will land on 4

impossible unlikely evens likely certain

[1]
(d)

Chloe has a 6-faced dice.

She rolls the dice 60 times and records the number on which the dice lands each time.

Here is information about Chloe’s results.

NumberFrequency
19
219
311
410
51
610

Explain what the information in the table tells you about whether the dice is fair.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 2(d)

Paper 2 June 2022 Foundation tier, Question 3 4 marks

The following four sentences are about different events.

A The likelihood of an event is evens.

B An event is certain to happen.

C When a fair dice numbered 1 to 6 is rolled, it lands on a number greater than 2

D The next birthday of a person picked at random is on a Monday.

The number line below has arrows marking five probabilities.

(a)

Write the letter for each event on the arrow that is in the best position to show the probability of each of the four events.

Figure for question 3
[3]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 3(a)
(b)

Eddie has a biased coin.

He wants to find an estimate for the probability that when he throws the coin it will land Heads.

Explain briefly how he could do this.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 3(b)

Paper 2 November 2021 Foundation tier, Question 1 4 marks

Marisa has 6 tiles. Each tile has a number on it.

Here are Marisa’s tiles.

Figure for question 1

Marisa puts her tiles in a bag. Marisa takes at random a tile from the bag.

(a)

Underline the word from the list below that best describes the likelihood that the tile has a 2 on it.

impossible certain evens unlikely likely

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 1(a)
(b)

Underline the word from the list below that best describes the likelihood that the tile has a number on it.

impossible certain evens unlikely likely

[1]
(c)

The probability scale below shows some probabilities marked with letters.

A B C D E F G

Question 1, shown as an image

Write down the letter that shows the probability that the tile taken from the bag

(c)(i)

has a 3 on it,

[1]
(c)(ii)

has a 1 or a 2 on it.

[1]

Paper 1 November 2020 Foundation tier, Question 1 4 marks

Jon is investigating the colour of the eyes of all the students at his school. He recorded the colour of the eyes of a sample of 20 students in his class.

Figure for question 1
(a)

Work out how many of these students do not have brown eyes.

One of these students is selected at random.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 1(a)
(b)

Describe the likelihood that this student has grey eyes.

Question 1, shown as an image
[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 1(b)
(c)

For Jon’s investigation, which statistical term best describes all of the students at Jon’s school?

Question 1, shown as an image
[1]
(d)

Explain whether or not Jon could use his results to determine the most common colour of the eyes of teachers in his school.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 1(d)

Paper 2 November 2020 Foundation tier, Question 1 5 marks

The probability scale below shows information about 7 events, each represented by a different letter.

A B C D E F G

Question 1, shown as an image

Ruth rolls a fair 6‑sided dice once.

(a)

Complete the table.

The event that the dice lands onLetter on the probability scale
a number less than 7G
an even number............................
a number 2 or 3 or 4 or 5............................
....................................................................................................................B
a number that is not 3............................
Question 1, shown as an image
[4]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 1(a)
(b)

Which word from the list below best describes the probability of event G?

Question 1, shown as an image
[1]

Paper 1 June 2019 Foundation tier, Question 1 4 marks

A bag contains 8 coloured beads. There are 4 blue beads, 2 red beads, 1 green bead, 1 yellow bead.

A bead is picked at random from the bag.

(a)

Underline the word from the list below that best describes the likelihood that the bead is green.

impossible certain evens unlikely likely

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 1(a)
(b)

Beads of which two colours are equally likely to be picked?

[1]
(c)

On the probability scale below, mark with a cross (X) the probability that the bead is blue.

Question 1, shown as an image
[1]
(d)

On the probability scale below, mark with a cross (X) the probability that the bead is black.

Question 1, shown as an image
[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 1(d)

Paper 1 June 2019 Foundation tier, Question 15 5 marks

A driving school has 40 cars.

The cars are either petrol cars or diesel cars. The cars have either a manual gearbox or an automatic gearbox.

16 of the cars have an automatic gearbox. 10 of the petrol cars have an automatic gearbox. There are 30 petrol cars.

One of the petrol cars is to be picked at random. One of the diesel cars is to be picked at random.

Derek says, “ The probability that the petrol car has a manual gearbox is greater than the probability that the diesel car has a manual gearbox”.

Is he correct? You must show working and justify your answer.

[5]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 15

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