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Edexcel IGCSE Maths

Topic questions Statistics Mutually exclusive and independent events

Mutually exclusive and independent events

36 questions · 172 marks · about 3.5 hours

Mutually exclusive and independent events questions

Edexcel 4MA1 Mutually exclusive and independent events 36 questions

Paper 1F June 2025 (R) Foundation tier, Question 19 5 marks

Here is a biased 5-sided spinner. When the spinner is spun, it can land on blue or on green or on purple or on red or on yellow.

Figure for question 19

The table gives information about the probability of the spinner landing on each colour.

Figure for question 19

Sophie spins the spinner once.

(a)

Work out the probability that the spinner lands on blue or on green or on purple.

Max spins the spinner 350 times.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 19(a)
(b)

Work out an estimate for the number of times the spinner lands on red.

[4]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 19(b)

Paper 1H June 2025 Higher tier, Question 14 4 marks

Ricardo is going to play one game of badminton and one game of tennis.

He can either win or lose each game.

The probability that he will win the game of badminton is 0.7 The probability that he will win the game of tennis is 0.4

(a)

Complete the probability tree diagram.

badminton tennis

Figure for question 14
[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 14(a)
(b)

Work out the probability that Ricardo loses both games.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 14(b)

Paper 1H June 2025 (R) Higher tier, Question 19 3 marks

Also involves Fractions

Kannika has 9 counters. There is a number on each counter.

Figure for question 19

Kannika puts the 9 counters in a bag. She takes at random a counter from the bag and does not replace the counter. She then takes at random a second counter from the bag.

Work out the probability that the sum of the numbers on the two counters is less than 5

[3]

Paper 1H June 2025 Higher tier, Question 21 3 marks

Also involves Probability

A box contains 20 counters.

9 of the counters are red 7 of the counters are yellow 4 of the counters are green

Alex takes at random three counters from the box.

Work out the probability that exactly two of the three counters are the same colour.

[3]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 21

Paper 1F June 2024 (R) Foundation tier, Question 17, also on the Higher paper 4 marks

Here is a biased spinner.

Figure for question 17

The table gives information about the probability that, when the spinner is spun once, it will land on each number.

Number12345
Probability2x0.270.04x0.12

Alexis is going to spin the spinner 400 times.

Work out an estimate for the number of times the spinner will land on an odd number.

[4]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 17

Paper 1H June 2024 (R) Higher tier, Question 2, also on the Foundation paper 4 marks

Here is a biased spinner.

Figure for question 2

The table gives information about the probability that, when the spinner is spun once, it will land on each number.

Number12345
Probability2x0.270.04x0.12

Alexis is going to spin the spinner 400 times.

Work out an estimate for the number of times the spinner will land on an odd number.

[4]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 2

Paper 1H June 2024 Higher tier, Question 13 5 marks

Harman has two bags of beads.

In bag A, there are 3 white beads and 7 black beads. In bag B, there are 5 white beads and 4 black beads.

Harman takes at random a bead from bag A and a bead from bag B

(a)

Complete the probability tree diagram.

Bag A Bag B

Figure for question 13
[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 13(a)
(b)

Work out the probability that Harman takes two beads of the same colour.

[3]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 13(b)

Paper 1H June 2024 Higher tier, Question 16 4 marks

Also involves Probability · Fractions

There are 20 sweets in a box.

15 of the sweets are red 5 of the sweets are yellow

Fred takes at random 3 sweets from the box.

Work out the probability that Fred takes at least one sweet of each colour from the box.

[4]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 16

Paper 1H June 2024 (R) Higher tier, Question 21 5 marks

Also involves Forming and solving equations

There are 25 counters in a bag such that

6 counters are blue x counters are orange, where x > 9 the rest of the counters are pink

Maalam takes at random two of the counters from the bag. The probability that Maalam takes one orange counter and one pink counter is fraction Calculate the probability that Maalam takes 2 pink counters from the bag. Show clear algebraic working.

[5]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 21

Paper 2H November 2023 Higher tier, Question 11 5 marks

Sid has 2 boxes of crayons, box X and box Y

5 of the 16 crayons in box X are red. 7 of the 20 crayons in box Y are red. Sid takes at random one crayon from box X and one crayon from box Y

(a)

Complete the probability tree diagram.

box X box Y

Figure for question 11
[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 11(a)
(b)

Work out the probability that Sid takes two crayons that are red or two crayons that are not red.

[3]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 11(b)

Paper 1H June 2023 (R) Higher tier, Question 13 3 marks

Novak is going to play two games of tennis.

The probability that he wins the first game is 0.7

If he wins the first game, the probability that he wins the second game is 0.9 If he loses the first game, the probability that he wins the second game is 0.4

(a)

Complete the probability tree diagram.

Figure for question 13
[1]
(b)

Work out the probability that Novak wins both games of tennis.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 13(b)

Paper 2H June 2023 Higher tier, Question 13 4 marks

Narin has two fair 6-sided dice.

Dice A has 2 red faces and 4 yellow faces. Dice B has 1 red face and 5 yellow faces.

Narin is going to throw each dice once.

(a)

Complete the probability tree diagram.

Figure for question 13
[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 13(a)
(b)

Work out the probability that both dice land on yellow.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 13(b)

Paper 2H June 2023 Higher tier, Question 20 3 marks

Also involves Probability

There are 12 counters in a bag.

3 of the counters are red 9 of the counters are green

Ameya, Jack and Ella each take at random one counter from the bag.

Work out the probability that at least one red counter is still in the bag.

[3]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 20

Paper 1H January 2023 Higher tier, Question 15 7 marks

Here are 9 cards. Each card has either a number on it or a letter on it.

Figure for question 15

Tomas is playing a game.

Tomas takes at random one of the cards and keeps it.

Tomas then takes at random another card and keeps it.

(a)

Complete the probability tree diagram.

First card Second card

Figure for question 15
[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 15(a)
(b)

Work out the probability that each of the two cards has a number on it.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 15(b)
(c)

Work out the probability that there will be one card with a number on it and one card with a letter on it.

[3]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 15(c)

Paper 1F June 2022 Foundation tier, Question 10 3 marks

Anjali wants to go on a boat at the seaside.

At the seaside there are 20 boats.

Of these boats 2 are white 5 are blue 7 are green 6 are yellow

Anjali selects at random one of these boats.

Write down the probability that she selects

(i)

a green boat,

[1]
(ii)

a white boat or a yellow boat.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 10(ii)

Paper 1H June 2022 (R) Higher tier, Question 1 4 marks

Here is a biased spinner.

Figure for question 1

When the spinner is spun once, the probabilities that it lands on red or on yellow or on green are given in the table.

Colourredyellowpurplegreen
Probability0.250.20.2
(a)

Work out the probability that the spinner lands on red or on yellow.

Yang is going to spin the spinner 300 times.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 1(a)
(b)

Work out an estimate for the number of times the spinner will land on purple.

[3]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 1(b)

Paper 1H June 2022 Higher tier, Question 12 4 marks

Rudolf goes to the gym.

The probability that he will use the treadmill is 0.8

When he uses the treadmill, the probability that he will use the cross trainer is 0.3 When he does not use the treadmill, the probability that he will use the cross trainer is 0.6

(a)

Complete the probability tree diagram for this information.

........ use cross trainer

Figure for question 12
[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 12(a)
(b)

Work out the probability that Rudolf uses both the treadmill and the cross trainer.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 12(b)

Paper 1H June 2022 Higher tier, Question 15 4 marks

Also involves Probability

Abraham is going to play a computer game. Abraham can win the game, draw the game or lose the game.

For any game that Abraham plays

the probability that he wins the game is 0.3 the probability that he draws the game is 0.5 the probability that he loses the game is 0.2

When Abraham wins a game, he scores +10 points. When Abraham draws a game, he scores 0 points. When Abraham loses a game, he scores −5 points.

Abraham plays 3 games and the points he scores in each of the 3 games are added together to get his total score.

Work out the probability that when he has played 3 games his total score is 0 points.

[4]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 15

Paper 1H June 2022 (R) Higher tier, Question 24 5 marks

Also involves Forming and solving equations

Elliot has x counters.

Each counter has one red face and one green face.

Elliot spreads all the counters out on a table and sees that the number of counters showing a red face is 5

Elliot then picks at random one of the counters and turns the counter over. He then picks at random a second counter and turns the counter over. The probability that there are still 5 counters showing a red face is fraction

Work out the value of x Show clear algebraic working.

[5]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 24

Paper 1H January 2022 Higher tier, Question 14 4 marks

Also involves Fractions

Aika has 2 packets of seeds, packet A and packet B

There are 12 seeds in packet A and 7 of these are sunflower seeds. There are 15 seeds in packet B and 8 of these are sunflower seeds.

Aika is going to take at random a seed from packet A and a seed from packet B

(a)

Complete the probability tree diagram.

Figure for question 14
[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 14(a)
(b)

Calculate the probability that Aika will take two sunflower seeds.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 14(b)

Paper 2F January 2022 (R) Foundation tier, Question 18, also on the Higher paper 4 marks

A tin contains tea bags with a choice of four different flavours of tea. The four flavours of tea are Assam or Darjeeling or Nilgiri or Rize.

Sara takes at random a tea bag from the tin.

The table shows each of the probabilities that the flavour of the tea Sara takes is Assam or Darjeeling or Rize.

Flavour of teaAssamDarjeelingNilgiriRize
Probability0.380.240.16
(a)

Work out the probability that the flavour of the tea Sara takes is Nilgiri.

[2]
(b)

Work out the probability that the flavour of the tea Sara takes is either Darjeeling or Rize.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 18(b)

Paper 2H January 2022 (R) Higher tier, Question 1, also on the Foundation paper 4 marks

A tin contains tea bags with a choice of four different flavours of tea. The four flavours of tea are Assam or Darjeeling or Nilgiri or Rize.

Sara takes at random a tea bag from the tin.

The table shows each of the probabilities that the flavour of the tea Sara takes is Assam or Darjeeling or Rize.

Flavour of teaAssamDarjeelingNilgiriRize
Probability0.380.240.16
(a)

Work out the probability that the flavour of the tea Sara takes is Nilgiri.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 1(a)
(b)

Work out the probability that the flavour of the tea Sara takes is either Darjeeling or Rize.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 1(b)

Paper 2H January 2022 (R) Higher tier, Question 14 8 marks

Also involves Conditional probability

A group of 60 students each sat an algebra test and a geometry test. Each test was marked out of 110

The cumulative frequency graph gives information about the marks gained by the 60 students in the algebra test.

Figure for question 14
(a)

Use the graph to find an estimate for the median mark in the algebra test.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 14(a)
(b)

Use the graph to find an estimate for the number of students who gained 58 marks or less in the algebra test.

[1]
(c)

Use the graph to find an estimate for the interquartile range of the marks gained in the algebra test.

The interquartile range of the marks gained in the geometry test is 9

Luis says

“The students’ marks are more spread out in the algebra test than in the geometry test.”

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 14(c)
(d)

Is Luis correct? Give a reason for your answer.

To be awarded a grade A in the algebra test, a student had to gain a mark greater than 64

Two students are to be selected at random from the 60 students in the group.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 14(d)
(e)

Use the graph to find an estimate for the probability that both of these students were awarded a grade A in the algebra test.

[3]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 14(e)

Paper 1H November 2021 Higher tier, Question 15 8 marks

Also involves Possibility spaces and combined events

15Magnus and Garry play 2 games of chess against each other. The probability that Magnus beats Garry in any game is fraction The probability that any game between Magnus and Garry is drawn is fraction The result of any game is independent of the result of any other game.

(a)

Complete the probability tree diagram.

Figure for question 15
[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 15(a)
(b)

For each game of chess,

the winner gets 2 points and the loser gets 0 points, when the game is drawn, each player gets 1 point.

Work out the probability that, after 2 games, Magnus and Garry have the same number of points.

Magnus and Garry now play a third game of chess.

[3]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 15(b)
(c)

Work out the probability that, after 3 games, Magnus and Garry have the same number of points.

[3]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 15(c)

Paper 1H January 2021 Higher tier, Question 14 5 marks

Ding is going to play one game of snooker against each of two of his friends, Marco and Judd.

The probability tree diagram gives information about the probabilities that Ding will win or lose each of these two games.

Ding against
Ding against

Figure for question 14
(a)

Work out the probability that Ding will win both games.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 14(a)
(b)

Work out the probability that Ding will win exactly one of the games.

[3]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 14(b)

Paper 2H January 2021 (R) Higher tier, Question 21 6 marks

Also involves Probability

A bag contains n beads. 6 of the beads are red and the rest are blue.

Ravi is going to take at random 2 beads from the bag. The probability that the 2 beads will be of the same colour is fraction

Using algebra, and showing each stage of your working, calculate the value of n.

[6]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 21

Paper 1H November 2020 Higher tier, Question 15 5 marks

Harry has two fair 5-sided spinners.

Figure for question 15

Spinner A Spinner B

Harry is going to spin each spinner once.

(a)

Complete the probability tree diagram.

Figure for question 15
[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 15(a)
(b)

Work out the probability that at least one of the spinners will land on green.

[3]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 15(b)

Paper 1H January 2020 (R) Higher tier, Question 16 4 marks

Also involves Conditional probability

Steffi is going to play one game of tennis and one game of chess.

The probability that she will win the game of tennis is 0.6 The probability that she will win both games is 0.42

Work out the probability that she will not win either game.

[4]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 16

Paper 1H January 2020 Higher tier, Question 18 4 marks

Also involves Fractions

There are 16 sweets in a bowl.

4 of the sweets are blackcurrant. 5 of the sweets are lemon. 7 of the sweets are orange.

Anna, Ravi and Sam each take at random one sweet from the bowl.

Work out the probability that the 5 lemon sweets are still in the bowl.

[4]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 18

Paper 2H January 2020 (R) Higher tier, Question 16 8 marks

Also involves Fractions

Cody has two bags of counters, bag A and bag B.

Each of the counters has either an odd number or an even number written on it.

There are 10 counters in bag A and 7 of these counters have an odd number written on them. There are 12 counters in bag B and 7 of these counters have an odd number written on them.

Cody is going to take at random a counter from bag A and a counter from bag B.

(a)

Complete the probability tree diagram.

Figure for question 16
[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 16(a)
(b)

Calculate the probability that the total of the numbers on the two counters will be an odd number.

Harriet also has a bag of counters. Each of her counters also has either an odd number or an even number written on it.

Harriet is going to take at random a counter from her bag of counters.

The probability that the number on each of Cody’s two counters and the number on Harriet’s counter will all be even is fraction

[3]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 16(b)
(c)

Find the least number of counters that Harriet has in her bag. Show your working clearly.

[3]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 16(c)

Paper 1H June 2019 Higher tier, Question 13 7 marks

In group C, there are 6 girls and 8 boys. In group D, there are 3 girls and 7 boys.

A team is made by picking at random one child from group C and one child from group D.

(a)

Complete the probability tree diagram.

Figure for question 13
[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 13(a)
(b)

Work out the probability that there are two boys in the team.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 13(b)
(c)

After the first team has been picked, a second team is picked. One child is picked at random from the children left in group C and one child is picked at random from the children left in group D.

Work out the probability that there are two boys in each of the two teams.

[3]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 13(c)

Paper 1H June 2019 (R) Higher tier, Question 14 6 marks

Each day that Barney goes to college, he either goes by bus or he walks. The probability that Barney will go to college by bus on any day is 0.3

When Barney goes to college by bus, the probability that he will be late is 0.2 When Barney walks to college, the probability that he will be late is 0.1

(a)

Complete the probability tree diagram.

Figure for question 14
[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 14(a)
(b)

Barney will go to college on 200 days next year.

Work out an estimate for the number of days Barney will be late for college next year.

[4]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 14(b)

Paper 1H June 2018 (R) Higher tier, Question 15 8 marks

There are two bags of counters, bag X and bag Y.

There are 20 counters in bag X. 11 of the counters are blue and the rest are red.

There are 16 counters in bag Y. 9 of the counters are blue and the rest are red.

Arkady takes at random a counter from bag X and takes at random a counter from bag Y.

(a)

Complete the probability tree diagram.

bag X bag Y

Figure for question 15
[3]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 15(a)
(b)

Work out the probability that the two counters are both red.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 15(b)
(c)

Work out the probability that the two counters are both red or are both blue.

[3]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 15(c)

Paper 1H June 2018 Higher tier, Question 19 4 marks

Also involves Probability

Jack plays a game with two fair spinners, A and B.

Spinner A can land on the number 2 or 3 or 5 or 7 Spinner B can land on the number 2 or 3 or 4 or 5 or 6

Jack spins both spinners. He wins the game if one spinner lands on an odd number and the other spinner lands on an even number.

Jack plays the game twice. Work out the probability that Jack wins the game both times.

[4]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 19

Paper 2H June 2018 Higher tier, Question 13 5 marks

Felix has 10 cards. There are 5 red cards, 4 blue cards and 1 green card.

Felix takes at random one of the cards. He does not replace the card. Felix then takes at random a second card.

(a)

Complete the probability tree diagram.

Figure for question 13
[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 13(a)
(b)

Work out the probability that Felix takes at least one blue card and no green card.

[3]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 13(b)

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