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Edexcel IGCSE Maths

Topic questions Statistics The probability scale

The probability scale

25 questions · 97 marks · about 2 hours

The probability scale questions

Edexcel 4MA1 The probability scale 25 questions

Paper 1F June 2025 (R) Foundation tier, Question 2 3 marks

Freya has four cards. There is a number on each card.

Figure for question 2

Freya is going to pick at random one of these cards.

(a)

Circle the word in the box below that best describes the likelihood that Freya will pick a card with the number 5 on it.

impossible unlikely evens likely certain

[1]
(b)

On the probability scale below, mark with a cross (×) the probability that Freya will pick a card with a number less than 6 on it.

Question 2, shown as an image
[1]
(c)

Ishani has six cards each with a number on it. Four of these numbers are shown below.

When she picks at random one of the six cards, the probability that she picks a card with

Question 2, shown as an image

Write a number on each of the blank cards to show one possible set of six cards that Ishani could have.

Figure for question 2
[1]

Paper 1F June 2025 (R) Foundation tier, Question 19, also on the Higher paper 5 marks

Here is a biased 5-sided spinner. When the spinner is spun, it can land on blue or on green or on purple or on red or on yellow.

Figure for question 19

The table gives information about the probability of the spinner landing on each colour.

Figure for question 19

Sophie spins the spinner once.

(a)

Work out the probability that the spinner lands on blue or on green or on purple.

Max spins the spinner 350 times.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 19(a)
(b)

Work out an estimate for the number of times the spinner lands on red.

[4]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 19(b)

Paper 1H June 2025 (R) Higher tier, Question 4, also on the Foundation paper 5 marks

Here is a biased 5-sided spinner. When the spinner is spun, it can land on blue or on green or on purple or on red or on yellow.

Figure for question 4

The table gives information about the probability of the spinner landing on each colour.

Figure for question 4

Sophie spins the spinner once.

(a)

Work out the probability that the spinner lands on blue or on green or on purple.

Max spins the spinner 350 times.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 4(a)
(b)

Work out an estimate for the number of times the spinner lands on red.

[4]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 4(b)

Paper 1F June 2024 Foundation tier, Question 3 3 marks

A box contains 10 balls.

5 balls are black 3 balls are green 2 balls are red

Rema is going to take at random a ball from the box.

(a)

On the probability scale, mark with a cross (maths symbol) the probability that the ball is black.

Figure for question 3
[1]
(b)

On the probability scale, mark with a cross (maths symbol) the probability that the ball is orange.

Figure for question 3
[1]
(c)

Johan has three bags of counters, A, B and C He tries to find the probability of taking at random a white counter from each bag. He writes his probabilities in a table.

BagABC
Probability0.70.451.2

The probability that Johan writes for bag C is incorrect.

Explain how you know that it is incorrect.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 3(c)

Paper 1F June 2024 Foundation tier, Question 12 4 marks

The table shows information about the number of school lunches each of 30 students had in one week.

Number of school lunchesFrequency
02
15
211
37
44
51
(a)

Work out the mean number of school lunches.

The probability that Alex takes a packed lunch to school is 0.79

[3]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 12(a)
(b)

Work out the probability that Alex does not take a packed lunch to school.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 12(b)

Paper 2F June 2024 (R) Foundation tier, Question 11 5 marks

A café sells 4 different types of cake.

carrot (C) fruit (F) lemon (L) madeira (M)

Nala is going to choose 2 different types of cake.

(a)

Write down all the possible combinations she can choose.

The two-way table gives some information about the flavours of ice creams sold by the café on Saturday and on Sunday.

Figure for question 11
[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 11(a)
(b)

Complete the two-way table.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 11(b)
(c)

Nala asks 100 students whether they prefer cake or ice cream.

33 of the students prefer cake.

One of the 100 students is chosen at random.

Find the probability that this student does not prefer cake.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 11(c)

Paper 2F November 2023 Foundation tier, Question 5 2 marks

There are 8 counters in a bag.

6 of these counters are orange. The rest of the counters are purple.

Delilah takes at random a counter from the bag.

(i)

On the probability scale below, mark with a cross (×) the probability that the counter is orange.

Figure for question 5
[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 5(i)
(ii)

On the probability scale below, mark with a cross (×) the probability that the counter is yellow.

Figure for question 5
[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 5(ii)

Paper 1F June 2023 (R) Foundation tier, Question 2 3 marks

The diagram shows a fair spinner with six sections.

Figure for question 2

Three sections are red, two sections are blue and one section is yellow.

Figure for question 2

The spinner is spun once.

(a)

Write down a word from the box to describe the likelihood that the spinner lands on yellow.

[1]
(b)

On the probability scale, mark with a cross (maths symbol) the probability that the spinner lands on green.

Figure for question 2
[1]
(c)

Here are 8 number cards. 3 of the number cards are blank.

Figure for question 2

Hugo is going to take at random one of these cards.

Write a number on each of the 3 blank cards so that the probability that Hugo picks a card with an odd number is fraction

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 2(c)

Paper 1F January 2023 (R) Foundation tier, Question 2 3 marks

Here are 6 counters. Each counter has a number on it.

Figure for question 2

Finn takes at random one of these counters.

(i)

Select with a tick (maths symbol) the word that best describes the likelihood that Finn takes a counter with the number 2 on it.

Figure for question 2
[1]
(ii)

Select with a tick (maths symbol) the word that best describes the likelihood that Finn takes a counter with the number 3 on it.

Figure for question 2
[1]
(iii)

Select with a tick (maths symbol) the word that best describes the likelihood that Finn takes a counter with a number greater than 4 on it.

Figure for question 2
[1]

Paper 1F January 2023 Foundation tier, Question 5 4 marks

Adam has 8 packets of noodles. Here is the flavour of noodles in each packet.

Figure for question 5

Adam takes at random a packet of noodles.

(a)(i)

On the probability scale, mark with a cross (maths symbol) the probability that Adam takes a packet of Hot and Spicy noodles.

Figure for question 5
[1]
(a)(ii)

Circle the word that best describes the likelihood that Adam takes a packet of Vegetarian noodles.

Figure for question 5
[1]
(b)

Belinda asks 20 people to name the type of rice that they each like the best.

Here are her results.

arborio jasmine basmati jasmine basmati basmati arborio wild jasmine jasmine jasmine jasmine arborio basmati basmati wild basmati jasmine wild arborio

Complete the frequency table for Belinda’s results.

Figure for question 5
[2]

Paper 1F January 2023 Foundation tier, Question 22 4 marks

Some members of a library were asked to name the type of book that they each liked to read the best.

One of the members is chosen at random. The table shows information about the probability of the type of book that this member answered.

Type of bookcomedyromancemysterythriller
Probability0.240.403xx

48 members answered comedy books.

Work out how many of the members answered mystery books.

[4]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 22

Paper 1F June 2022 Foundation tier, Question 3 3 marks

Here is a probability scale.

Figure for question 3

In a fruit bowl, there are only

3 bananas 7 pears

Shimon is going to take at random one of the fruits from the bowl.

(a)

Write down the letter of the arrow that points to the probability that Shimon takes

(a)(i)

a pear,

[1]
(a)(ii)

a grape.

Emma has some carrots, some potatoes and some onions in a bag. She says that the probability of taking at random a carrot from the bag is 1.4

Emma is not correct.

[1]
(b)

Explain why.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 3(b)

Paper 1F June 2022 Foundation tier, Question 12 4 marks

The table gives information about the number of gold stars won by each of 25 students in class 7T last week.

Number of gold starsNumber of students
06
15
24
37
43
(a)

Work out the mean number of gold stars won.

A student in class 8R is to be chosen at random.

The probability that this student won at least one gold star last week is 0.39

[3]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 12(a)
(b)

Work out the probability that this student did not win at least one gold star last week.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 12(b)

Paper 1H June 2022 (R) Higher tier, Question 1 4 marks

Here is a biased spinner.

Figure for question 1

When the spinner is spun once, the probabilities that it lands on red or on yellow or on green are given in the table.

Colourredyellowpurplegreen
Probability0.250.20.2
(a)

Work out the probability that the spinner lands on red or on yellow.

Yang is going to spin the spinner 300 times.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 1(a)
(b)

Work out an estimate for the number of times the spinner will land on purple.

[3]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 1(b)

Paper 2F June 2022 (R) Foundation tier, Question 12 5 marks

Mario is going to play two games on Saturday. He will play one game on Saturday morning and one game on Saturday afternoon.

The following table shows the games from which he is going to choose.

MorningAfternoon
Bridge (B) Chess (C) Draughts (D)Ludo (L) Mahjong (M) Snakes and ladders (S)
(a)

Write down all the possible combinations of games that Mario can play on Saturday.

Mario asked 100 students in his school to name their favourite card game.

His results are shown in the two‑way table below.

SolitaireRummyWhistTotal
Year 103019453
Year 1117181247
Total473716100

One of the students Mario asked is picked at random.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 12(a)
(b)

Write down the probability that this student is in Year 11

One of the Year 10 students is picked at random.

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 12(b)
(c)

Work out the probability that this student did not answer Whist.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 12(c)

Paper 2H January 2022 Higher tier, Question 6 5 marks

Also involves Probability

A bag contains only pink sweets, white sweets, green sweets and red sweets.

The table gives each of the probabilities that, when a sweet is taken at random from the bag, the sweet will be green or the sweet will be red.

Sweetpinkwhitegreenred
Probability0.20.35

The ratio number of pink sweets: number of white sweets = 2: 1

There are 28 red sweets in the bag.

Work out the number of white sweets in the bag.

[5]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 6

Paper 1F January 2021 Foundation tier, Question 2 3 marks

Also involves Factors, multiples and primes

Sandeep is designing some 3‑sided spinners.

He is going to spin each spinner once.

(a)(i)

Write a different number on each dotted line so that when the spinner is spun it is impossible that the spinner will land on a number greater than 9

Figure for question 2
[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 2(a)(i)
(a)(ii)

Write a different number on each dotted line so that when the spinner is spun it is certain that the spinner will land on a multiple of 10

Figure for question 2
[1]
(b)

The likelihood of an outcome is evens.

On the probability scale, mark with a cross (X) the probability of this outcome.

0 0.5 1

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 2(b)

Paper 1F January 2021 (R) Foundation tier, Question 2 4 marks

Caroline has a bag containing 10 counters.

In the bag there are

7 red counters 2 blue counters 1 green counter

Caroline is going to choose at random a counter from the bag.

Figure for question 2
(a)

Write down the word from the box that best describes the likelihood that Caroline will take

(a)(i)

a red counter,

[1]
(a)(ii)

a yellow counter.

Jamil is going to roll a fair six‑sided dice.

[1]
(b)

On the probability scale, mark with a cross (X) the probability that the dice will land on an odd number.

Figure for question 2
[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 2(b)
(c)

On the probability scale, mark with a cross (X) the probability that the dice will land on 2

Figure for question 2
[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 2(c)

Paper 1F January 2021 Foundation tier, Question 15 3 marks

A bag contains 30 coloured counters. The table gives the number of counters of each colour.

Figure for question 15

One of the counters is taken at random from the bag.

(a)

Write down the probability that this counter is green.

[1]
(b)

Write down the probability that this counter is not red.

[2]

Paper 1F November 2020 (R) Foundation tier, Question 4 4 marks

There are 12 beads in a bag.

6 of the beads are green 4 of the beads are blue 2 of the beads are pink

Peter takes at random a bead from the bag.

(a)

Circle the word in the list below that best describes the likelihood that the bead is green.

impossible unlikely evens likely certain

[1]
(b)

On the probability scale, mark with a cross (X) the probability that the bead is orange.

Figure for question 4
[1]
(c)

On the probability scale, mark with a cross (X) the probability that the bead is blue.

Figure for question 4
[1]
(d)

On the probability scale, mark with a cross (X) the probability that the bead is green or pink.

Figure for question 4
[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 4(d)

Paper 1F January 2020 (R) Foundation tier, Question 7 5 marks

Figure for question 7
(a)

Write down all the possible combinations that Mohsen can choose.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 7(a)
(b)

Find the probability that Mohsen chooses the red shirt to wear to the party.

There are 20 counters in a bag.

4 of the counters are pink. 9 of the counters are white. The rest of the counters are black.

Jean takes at random one counter from the bag.

[1]
(c)

Work out the probability that Jean takes a black counter.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 7(c)

Paper 1H January 2020 (R) Higher tier, Question 16 4 marks

Also involves Conditional probability

Steffi is going to play one game of tennis and one game of chess.

The probability that she will win the game of tennis is 0.6 The probability that she will win both games is 0.42

Work out the probability that she will not win either game.

[4]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 16

Paper 2F January 2020 Foundation tier, Question 9 5 marks

Also involves The four operations

There are 25 pens in a packet. 7 of the pens are green. 10 of the pens are black. The rest of the pens are red. Jurgen takes at random a pen from the packet.

(a)

Find the probability that

(a)(i)

the pen is black,

[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 9(a)(i)
(a)(ii)

the pen is red.

Heidi records the number of packets of pens sold in her shop to each customer last Friday. The table shows information about her results.

Number of packetsFrequency
114
217
315
412
59
[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 9(a)(ii)
(b)

Write down the mode of the number of packets.

[1]
(c)

Work out the total number of packets of pens sold last Friday.

[2]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 9(c)

Paper 2F January 2020 Foundation tier, Question 22 4 marks

Also involves Forming and solving equations

A bag contains only red beads, blue beads, green beads and yellow beads.

The table gives the probabilities that, when a bead is taken at random from the bag, the bead will be blue or the bead will be yellow.

Colourredbluegreenyellow
Probability0.240.31

The probability that the bead will be green is twice the probability that the bead will be red.

Sofia takes at random a bead from the bag. She writes down the colour of the bead and puts the bead back into the bag.

She does this 180 times.

Work out an estimate for the number of times she takes a red bead from the bag.

[4]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 22

Paper 1F June 2019 Foundation tier, Question 4 3 marks

The diagram shows a fair 6-sided spinner.

Figure for question 4

Rami is going to spin the spinner once.

(a)

Circle the word in the box below that best describes the likelihood that the spinner will land on green.

Figure for question 4
[1]
(b)

On the probability scale below, mark with a cross (×) the probability that the spinner will land on blue.

Question 4, shown as an image
[1]
(c)

On the probability scale below, mark with a cross (×) the probability that the spinner will land on yellow.

Question 4, shown as an image
[1]
Reveal mark scheme Mark scheme for question 4(c)

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