Paper 2: Pure Mathematics 2 June 2024, Question 13 9 marks
The world human population, P billions, is modelled by the equation
where a and b are constants and t is the number of years after 2004
Using the estimated population figures for the years from 2004 to 2007, a graph is plotted of log10P against t. The points lie approximately on a straight line with
• gradient 0.0054
• intercept 0.81 on the log10P axis
Estimate, to 3 decimal places, the value of a and the value of b.
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In the context of the model,
interpret the value of the constant a,
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interpret the value of the constant b.
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Use the model to estimate the world human population in 2030
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Comment on the reliability of the answer to part (c).
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